Pair #4854

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15144

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 11951

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:15:40Z

Reasoning: If Harman finishes in the top 10 overall, he must have made the cut to play the weekend rounds. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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