Pair #4852

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1310

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15144

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:15:18Z

Reasoning: Final tournament top 10 and Round 1 top 10 are independent — a player can finish top 10 overall without being top 10 after Round 1, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue