Pair #485

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-JRAH

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Jon Rahm finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Jon Rahm
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11014

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.3200
Last: 0.8400

Rules

If Jon Rahm finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-JRAH

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Jon Rahm
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 17422

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jon Rahm wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:01:09Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 at LIV Golf South Africa is independent of winning a PGA Tour major. These are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue