Pair #4847

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15144

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13388

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:15:18Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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