Pair #4833

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1344

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BHAR

Will Brian Harman win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1182236

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:14:58Z

Reasoning: These are separate tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 5 at the Valero Texas Open.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue