Pair #4832

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 11951

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BHAR

Will Brian Harman win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1182236

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:14:58Z

Reasoning: These are separate tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical connection to making the cut at the Valero Texas Open.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0110
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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