Pair #4829

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15144

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

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Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BHAR

Will Brian Harman win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1182236

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:14:58Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Valero Texas Open are completely separate tournaments. Winning one has no logical bearing on finishing top 10 in the other, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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