Pair #4828

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13388

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2200

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Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BHAR

Will Brian Harman win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1182236

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:14:43Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open are independent events across different tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8110
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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