Pair #4818

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-MHOM

Valero Texas Open: Will Max Homa finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7194

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOM

Will Max Homa win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4121696

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:14:43Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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