Pair #4793

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-TKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3277

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5800

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Rules

If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 425844

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:14:07Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Valero Texas Open are completely independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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