Pair #4790

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 425844

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-TKIM

Tom Kim to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 11460

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:13:48Z

Reasoning: If Tom Kim wins the Masters, he must have competed in it — so winning implies competing. The reverse does not hold: competing does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue