Pair #479

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-THAT

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21768

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-THAT

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5494

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:00:50Z

Reasoning: LIV Golf South Africa is not one of the four PGA majors. Winning it does not imply winning a major, and winning a major does not imply winning a LIV event.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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