Pair #4781

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ANOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Alex Noren finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11366

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.6300
Last: 0.3600

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Rules

If Alex Noren finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ANOR

Will Alex Noren win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1246179

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:13:48Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments. Winning one has no logical bearing on finishing top 20 in the other, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.6310
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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