Pair #4780

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ANOR

Will Alex Noren win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1246179

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Alex Noren wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-ANOR

Will Alex Noren win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 289405

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:13:26Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and winning the Valero Texas Open are entirely independent events at different tournaments. Neither logically necessitates the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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