Pair #477

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-THAT

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4807562

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-THAT

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5494

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:00:50Z

Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four PGA majors. If Hatton wins the Masters, he necessarily wins a major in 2026. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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