Pair #4767

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JSPA

Valero Texas Open: Will J.J. Spaun finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5847

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JSPA

Will J.J. Spaun win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4303647

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:13:06Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is a separate tournament from the Valero Texas Open. No logical connection between the two results.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3330
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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