Pair #4747

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JKEE

Valero Texas Open: Will John Keefer finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: John Keefer
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12160

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

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Rules

If John Keefer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JKEE

Will John Keefer win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: John Keefer
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1159972

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Keefer wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:12:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on finishing top 10 at the Valero Texas Open — they are separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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