Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MKIM
Will Michael Kim win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 983889
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Michael Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-VATO26-MKIM
Will Michael Kim win the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 519659
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Michael Kim wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:12:28Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and winning the Valero Texas Open are completely independent events. Neither implies the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A