Pair #4704

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-NTAY

Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Taylor finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3924

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-NTAY

Will Nick Taylor win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1773252

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:11:27Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters says nothing about Taylor's finish at the Valero Texas Open, and vice versa. These are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue