Pair #47

Antecedent (implies)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR16TIRDED-TIR

Will Thiago Agustin Tirante win the Tirante vs Dedura-Palomero : Qualification Round 1 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Thiago Agustin Tirante
Expiration: 2026-03-16T18:00:00Z
Volume: 136475

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.0800
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Thiago Agustin Tirante wins the Tirante vs Dedura-Palomero professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (implied)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR16TIRDED-1-TIR

Will Thiago Agustin Tirante win set 1 in the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Diego Dedura-Palomero match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Thiago Agustin Tirante
Expiration: 2026-03-16T18:00:00Z
Volume: 200

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0400
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Thiago Agustin Tirante wins set 1 in the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Diego Dedura-Palomero professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-16T22:51:19Z

Reasoning: Winning the match does not necessitate winning set 1 — a player can lose the first set and still win the match. Winning set 1 does not necessitate winning the match either.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: rejected
Reviewed at: 2026-03-17T10:17:22Z

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