Pair #4689

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ANOV

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Novak finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Andrew Novak
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9368

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8300
Last: 0.1100

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Rules

If Andrew Novak finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ANOV

Will Andrew Novak win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Andrew Novak
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 611159

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Novak wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:11:08Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open are independent events across different tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8310
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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