Pair #4666

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CYOU

Will Cameron Young win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 15753126

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

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Rules

If Cameron Young wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-CYOU

Masters Tournament: Will Cameron Young finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 159372

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0400
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cameron Young finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:10:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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