Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-MAST26-LABE
Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 225774
YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP5-VATO26-LABE
Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 25916
YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.7100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:10:29Z
Reasoning: These are two different tournaments. A top-10 at the Masters has no logical bearing on a top-5 at the Valero Texas Open.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.6100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A