Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LABE
Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 8557
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ludvig Aberg has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-MAST26-LABE
Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 225774
YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:10:29Z
Reasoning: These are two different tournaments (Masters and Valero Texas Open). Performance in one has no logical necessity on the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.2300
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A