Pair #4656

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-LABE

Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 225774

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 25063

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:10:07Z

Reasoning: These are different tournaments. A top 10 finish at the Valero Texas Open has no logical bearing on a top 10 finish at the Masters, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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