Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-MAST26-LABE
Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 225774
YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LABE
Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 56125
YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.0800
Last: 0.9300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:10:07Z
Reasoning: These are different tournaments (Valero Texas Open vs. Masters). Performance in one has no logical necessity on the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.7300
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A