Pair #465

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JROS

Will Justin Rose win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 16684948

YES ask: 0.0560
NO ask: 0.9450
Last: 0.0560

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-JROS

Justin Rose to be the Europe Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4082

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose is the Europe Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Being named Europe Ryder Cup captain has no logical connection to winning the Masters Tournament. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8850
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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