Pair #4625

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 56125

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.0800
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-LABE

Will Ludvig Aberg win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 10181182

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:09:22Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0810
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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