Pair #4619

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-SSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Sepp Straka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18338

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Sepp Straka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5112

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:09:04Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue