Pair #460

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TWOO

Will Tiger Woods win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tiger Woods
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 976988

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tiger Woods wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027USA-TWOO

Tiger Woods to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Tiger Woods
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 8436

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tiger Woods is the U.S. Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Being named Ryder Cup captain has no logical connection to winning the Masters Tournament. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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