Pair #4598

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Sepp Straka finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 56388

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Sepp Straka finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSTR

Will Sepp Straka win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1834446

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:08:23Z

Reasoning: These are separate tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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