Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BDEC
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 18818648
YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0080
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Bryson DeChambeau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-MAST26-BDEC
Masters Tournament: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 258939
YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.1300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:08:04Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1530
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A