Pair #4567

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-RMAC

Valero Texas Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12277

YES ask: 0.9600
NO ask: 0.2900
Last: 0.9000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3338259

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:07:45Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments. No logical connection between the two results.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2910
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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