Pair #4566

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RMAC

Valero Texas Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15576

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.2500
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3338259

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:07:45Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments. Winning one says nothing about finishing position in the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2510
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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