KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-TFLE
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 10?
Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5236
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0600
KXPGATOP5-MAST26-TFLE
Masters Tournament: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 156623
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0500
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:06:46Z
Reasoning: If Fleetwood finishes top 10 in all 4 majors, he necessarily finishes top 10 at the Masters — and top 10 at the Masters means top 5 is not guaranteed. Wait: top 10 does NOT imply top 5. However, the reverse is also false. Actually neither implies the other: top 10 in all majors means top 10 at Masters but not necessarily top 5; and top 5 at Masters doesn't mean top 10 at all 4 majors. Setting to none.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-36.17%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0700
Days to maturity:
55
Hurdle yield:
4.21%
Excess yield:
-40.38%
BELOW HURDLE
Not yet reviewed.
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