Pair #450

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 4151985

YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 41460

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:09:58Z

Reasoning: The Miami Open and French Open are separate tournaments. Winning one does not necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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