Pair #4488

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JNIE

Will Joaquin Niemann win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Joaquin Niemann
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2822725

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joaquin Niemann wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-JNIE

Joaquin Niemann to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Joaquin Niemann
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 15493

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joaquin Niemann competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:05:30Z

Reasoning: If Niemann wins the Masters, he must have competed in it. The reverse does not hold — competing does not guarantee winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue