Pair #448

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOMEN-26-PAU

Will Tommy Paul win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Tommy Paul
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 412288

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Tommy Paul wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOMEN-26-PAU

Will Tommy Paul win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Tommy Paul
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 101173

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tommy Paul wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:09:49Z

Reasoning: The Miami Open and the French Open are completely separate tournaments. Winning one does not necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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