KXNCAAFB10-26-MICH
Will Michigan win the College Football Big 10 Championship?
Series: KXNCAAFB10
Entity: Michigan
Expiration: 2026-12-06T04:30:00Z
Volume: 5538
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.0800
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH
Will Michigan qualify for the College Football Playoffs?
Series: KXNCAAFPLAYOFF
Entity: Michigan
Expiration: 2026-12-15T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2537
YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.2600
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:09:49Z
Reasoning: Teams can qualify for the CFP without winning their conference championship (at-large bids), and winning the Big 10 championship does not guarantee a CFP berth in all scenarios. Neither event logically necessitates the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-28.53%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.1900
Days to maturity:
189
Hurdle yield:
4.28%
Excess yield:
-32.81%
BELOW HURDLE
Not yet reviewed.
Authenticate