Pair #4460

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-RHEN

Valero Texas Open: Will Russell Henley finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4586

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Russell Henley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RHEN

Will Russell Henley win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3836117

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

View on Kalshi

Rules If Russell Henley wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:04:50Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 5 at the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments with no logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0060
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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