Pair #4456

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RHEN

Valero Texas Open: Will Russell Henley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 39704

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Russell Henley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RHEN

Will Russell Henley win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3836117

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

View on Kalshi

Rules If Russell Henley wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:04:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is a separate event from the Valero Texas Open. Winning the Masters does not imply any particular finish at the Valero Texas Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0060
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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