Pair #4452

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4852

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.6100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-WKIM

Will Si Woo Kim lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 230620

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:04:35Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut). Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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