Pair #4451

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4528

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7149

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:04:35Z

Reasoning: If Si Woo Kim finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10. The reverse is not true — top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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