Pair #4440

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-WKIM

Will Si Woo Kim win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 416154

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12240

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.5000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:04:16Z

Reasoning: Winning the Valero Texas Open means Si Woo Kim finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean he wins.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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