Pair #4435

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12240

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.5000

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Rules

If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SWOO

Will Si Woo Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1936252

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:04:16Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is a completely separate event from finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5610
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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