Pair #4430

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-STHE

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5015

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-STHE

Sahith Theegala to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16837

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sahith Theegala competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:03:56Z

Reasoning: If Theegala finishes top 10 in all 4 majors including the Masters, he must have competed in the Masters. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -6.39% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: 55
Hurdle yield: 4.21%
Excess yield: -10.60% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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