Pair #4424

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CMOR

Will Collin Morikawa win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6531994

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0040

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Rules

If Collin Morikawa wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-CMOR

Collin Morikawa to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 44744

YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2500
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Collin Morikawa competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:03:56Z

Reasoning: If Morikawa wins the Masters, he must have competed in it. The reverse does not hold — competing does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8080
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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