KXMARMAD-26-MICH
Will Michigan win the College Basketball National Championship?
Series: KXMARMAD
Entity: Michigan
Expiration: 2026-04-07T14:00:00Z
Volume: 20619743
YES ask: 0.7400
NO ask: 0.2700
Last: 0.7400
KXMARMADROUND-26T2-MICH
Will Michigan qualify for the Men's March Madness Championship Game?
Series: KXMARMADROUND
Entity: Michigan
Expiration: 2026-04-05T14:00:00Z
Volume: 172014
YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.4800
Last: 0.5300
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:09:49Z
Reasoning: To win the national championship, Michigan must play in and win the championship game, so winning the title necessitates qualifying for the championship game. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.8000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:35:34Z