Pair #4377

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-TFIN

Tony Finau to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 69265

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tony Finau competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-TFIN

Will Tony Finau win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1716955

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tony Finau wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:02:25Z

Reasoning: Competing in The Masters does not imply winning the Valero Texas Open, and winning the Valero Texas Open does not imply competing in The Masters (though it may earn an invitation, it is not a logical certainty). Neither direction holds as a strict logical necessity.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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