Pair #4365

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TFIN

Will Tony Finau win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1385475

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Tony Finau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-TFIN

Tony Finau to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 69265

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tony Finau competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:02:07Z

Reasoning: If Finau wins the Masters, he must have competed in the Masters. The reverse does not hold — competing does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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